Hurricane Season Is Predicted To Be More Active Than Usual This Year, And Texas Could Be Affected
By Katie Lawrence|Published April 18, 2020
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Katie Lawrence
Author
Katie Lawrence is a Southeast Texas native who graduated 18th in her high school class with a GPA of 4.25. She attended college in the Houston area and began writing for OnlyInYourState in 2015.
Today, Katie writes, edits, and performs several other tasks for OnlyInYourState and has never been more passionate about a job before. Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on with a hot cup of coffee, practicing yoga, baking, or exploring the beautiful Lone Star State (in particular, the vast and mystical West Texas desert).
Nobody needs more bad news right now, but whether we like it or not, hurricane season begins in less than two months. Early awareness is what enables us to take the necessary precautions, so it’s important that we know what this year has in store. Colorado State University and AccuWeather have released their 2020 forecasts, and both agencies predict a more active than usual season in the Atlantic Basin. This could spell trouble for Texas, as at least one storm is expected to make landfall somewhere along the U.S. coast.
After a catastrophic hurricane season last year, forecasters are predicting something similar yet again. Colorado State University has forecasted tropical cyclonic activity about 140% of average.
Sixteen named storms are predicted for 2020, with eight expected to become hurricanes. Of those eight, four major hurricanes -- that is, with sustained wind speeds of 111 miles per hour or more -- are forecast.
Why is this season likely to be bad? A lack of El Nino, the ocean current responsible for vertical wind shear, is to blame. Without it, the storms have a greater chance of staying together and gaining strength.
AccuWeather recently released its 2020 hurricane forecast, as well, which predicts 14-18 named storms. Seven to nine are expected to become hurricanes, with 2-4 likely to make a U.S. landfall.
In late May, NOAA will release their predictions. Arthur will be the first named storm of the season, followed by Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay and Gonzalo.
While these forecasts certainly aren't infallible, they at least offer a blueprint that lets us know what level of preparedness should be taken. It's always a good idea to have the essentials, like sandbags, batteries, bottled water, and non-perishable food items, on hand.
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